KANSAS WATER PLAN Preliminary Draft of Policy
Section Further Acquisition of Reservoir
Storage in the Kansas-Lower Republican Basin
Issue Description.................................................................................................................... 1
Background............................................................................................................................... 1
2002 Releases and Hydrologic Impacts.................................................................................... 2
Impacts on Recreation and Fish and Wildlife Habitat at Reservoirs......................................... 2
Public Water Supply Use of Reservoirs.................................................................................... 3
Historic and Projected Population............................................................................................. 3
Water Demand and Adequacy of Storage................................................................................ 4
Additional Storage Available in Milford and Perry Lakes............................................................ 6
Policy OPTIONS AND Recommendations........................................................................... 6
Recommendations.................................................................................................................... 8
Rationale for Recommendations............................................................................................... 8
Consistency with Statutory and Kansas Water Plan Objectives.............................................. 9
Plan Implementation................................................................................................................ 9
Legislative Action....................................................................................................................... 9
Administrative Action............................................................................................................... 10
Financial Requirements........................................................................................................... 10
Implementation Schedule ....................................................................................................... 10
Released for public review by the
Kansas Water Authority
July 2003
Further Acquisition of Reservoir Storage
in the Kansas-Lower Republican Basin
ISSUE DESCRIPTION
Release of water from three U.S. Army Corps of Engineers reservoirs in the Kansas-Lower Republican Basin to supplement Missouri River flows for navigation may produce detrimental economic and environmental impacts in Kansas. The policy of the Corps of Engineers provides for releasing water from Milford, Tuttle Creek and Perry lakes to help meet navigation target flows in the Missouri River at Kansas City. This is done when natural flows and releases from Corps Missouri River mainstem reservoirs are insufficient to meet these target flows
Kansas has contracts with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers for purchase of 500,000 acre-feet of storage in Milford, Tuttle Creek and Perry lakes, of which 323,350 acre-feet in Milford and Perry lakes have not been called into service. Payment has been deferred on this storage not presently in service. The Corps maintains control of releases from this storage until the State begins payment of the capital cost and the operation and maintenance costs for its acquisition.
Traditionally, Kansas has not called storage into service and begun payment until a contract has been signed with a customer for the water. At issue is whether the State of Kansas should call into service the remaining storage under contract in Milford and Perry lakes for the purpose of gaining control over reservoir releases from this storage even though a customer for the water has not come forward.
BACKGROUND
Milford, Tuttle Creek and Perry lakes are located within the Kansas – Lower Republican River Basin which is part of the overall Missouri River Basin. The Missouri River drains approximately one-sixth of the coterminous United States plus a small portion of Canada.
A six foot deep navigation channel in the Missouri River from Kansas City to the mouth of the river was authorized by the Rivers and Harbors Act of 1912. This was modified to the present 300 foot wide, nine foot deep channel from Sioux City, Iowa to the mouth in the Rivers and Harbors Act of 1945.
Successful commercial navigation on the Missouri River is dependent upon low flow supplementation from the Missouri River mainstem reservoir system with occasional releases from tributary reservoirs for which navigation release are authorized by federal law. Navigation releases are authorized from Milford, Tuttle Creek and Perry lakes. Navigation is limited to the eight month ice-free season which runs from late March to late November.
2002 Releases and Hydrologic Impacts
During 2002, drought conditions prevailed over much of the Missouri River Basin. Annual runoff from the area above Sioux City, Iowa was 64 percent of the long-term (1898-1998) normal and tenth lowest in 105 years of record.
Releases were made from July 2 through July 20, 2002 from Milford, Perry and Tuttle Creek lakes at rates that drew the lake elevations down at the same rate and up to three feet below the top of their multipurpose pools. These releases were made for both navigation support and to meet the water supply / water quality target flow of 1,000 cubic-feet per second at De Soto, Kansas.
Releases were also made in November 2002. By early December 2002, lake pool elevations were seven feet below the top of the multipurpose pool at Milford Lake and six feet below this level at Tuttle Creek and Perry lakes.
Analysis by the Kansas Water Office indicated that the pool levels of Milford, Tuttle Creek and Perry lakes would have been 3.05, 4.66 and 2.63 feet higher, respectively on December 4, 2002 without these releases. The mean increase in the level of the Missouri River at Kansas City was estimated to be 5.4 inches as a result of the July 2002 releases and 2.2 inches as a result of the November 2002 releases.
Impacts on Recreation and Fish and Wildlife Habitat at Reservoirs
Recreation associated with reservoirs provides major economic benefits. The Reservoirs of Opportunity Study by the National Recreation Lakes Study Commission, completed in 1999, focused on economic benefits from recreation at federal lakes with at least 1,000 surface acres. The study determined an economic impact of $4,630 per reservoir surface acre in 1998. Using this per-acre value, the economic value of recreation at Milford, Perry and Tuttle Creek lakes in 1998 was estimated at $193,251,570.
Pool level drawdowns associated with navigation releases from Milford, Perry and Tuttle Creek lakes may impact the recreational use of these reservoirs if they are sufficiently large. This is particularly so if the drawdowns occur during the summer peak recreational use season. Boat ramps may become unusable, particularly in the upstream portions of the reservoirs. Lower water levels also create greater hazards to boaters from stumps, rocks and other obstacles that are normally at a safe depth. Access to deep water for deeper draft vessels such as sailboats and houseboats moored at marinas may become difficult or impossible due to low water levels.
State park visitation data for the years 1996-2002 does not indicate that
navigation releases in 2002 had a negative impact upon the use of Milford, Perry or Tuttle Creek state parks. The total annual visitation at Milford and Tuttle Creek state parks in 2002 was the highest of the 1996-2002 period, while visitation at Perry State Park was third highest for this seven-year period. This indicates that the three-foot drawdown during the summer was not sufficiently large to seriously impact recreation activities occurring at the state parks. Also, factors other than reservoir pool level elevation such as weekend weather conditions and special events have an effect on visitation. This does not mean that other activities such as lake access from marinas by larger watercraft were not affected in 2002.
Low water levels may also impact fish and wildlife species, with these impacts varying according to the time of year in which they occur. Fish may not have access to their usual spawning beds if water levels are too low in the Spring and the young may not have the protective cover provided by vegetation in shallow areas. Those areas normally used by migratory waterfowl in the Spring and in the Autumn may not be available at lower water levels.
Public Water Supply Use of Reservoirs
Milford, Tuttle Creek and Perry lakes provide important public water supply benefits through the Kansas Water Assurance Program and the Kansas Water Marketing Program.
The Kansas Water Assurance Program allows coordinated operation of state-owned or controlled storage space in federal lakes to satisfy downstream municipal and industrial water rights during low flow conditions. Kansas River Water Assurance District No. 1 became operational in 1991. District members include 15 municipal and industrial water right holders along the Kansas River from Junction City downstream.
Water supply storage was purchased in Tuttle Creek Lake under terms of the 1985 Memorandum of Understanding with the U.S. Department of the Army to provide for better management of streamflow for assurance district operations. Water Marketing Program reserve capacity in previously purchased storage in Milford and Perry lakes is also utilized for this assurance district.
The purpose of the Kansas Water Marketing Program is to develop adequate water supply storage to meet, as nearly as practicable, present and anticipated municipal and industrial water needs through the purchase of water supply storage in federal reservoirs, which is then sold to water supply users in the best interests of the state.
The State of Kansas has purchased water supply storage in Milford and Perry lakes for water marketing purposes. One Water Marketing Program contract for approximately 18 percent of the yield available from Milford Lake has been signed. There are no contracts for purchase of water from Perry Lake.
Historic and Projected Population
In 2000, the total population of the 10 counties that border the Kansas River was 1,081,802. This represented 40 percent of the total population of Kansas. Between 1950 and 2000 the total population of these counties increased by 586,120 people or 118 percent. Two-thirds of this population growth occurred in Johnson County. Growth in Douglas and Shawnee counties accounted for an additional 22 percent of the total.
By 2040, the total population of the 10-county corridor region is expected to reach 1.6 million based upon Kansas Water Office projections. This would represent a 48 percent increase from 2000. The corridor region’s share of the state’s total population would be 45 percent based on these 2040 projections.
Examination of historical growth rates in Johnson and Douglas counties suggests that the Kansas Water Office population projections for these counties may be grossly underestimated. This may also be the case for other counties within the Kansas City metropolitan area.
An adjusted projection of the Kansas River Corridor total population assuming a 25 percent per decade growth rate in Johnson and Douglas counties gives a 2040 population of 2,031,738. This is 427,200 more than by using the Kansas Water Office projections alone.
Looking further into the future, U.S Census 1950-2000 decadal total population values were used to project Kansas River Corridor total population out to the year 2100. Linear regression was used to make this projection. Total population values of 1.64 million in 2050, 1.92 million in 2075 and 2.19 million in 2100 were projected using this technique
.
As these values show, population projections far into the future have a
great deal of uncertainty. Nevertheless, anticipating needs 40 to 100 years from now is crucial to ensuring that these needs will be met.
Water Demand and Adequacy of Storage
There are 117 public water suppliers serving the 10-county Kansas River Corridor region. Based upon Kansas Water Office 2040 population projections, 58 of these public water suppliers did not have sufficient water supplies (water rights, water marketing contracts with the state, purchase contracts with other suppliers) in 1998 to meet their projected 2040 demands. The total amount of this shortfall was 12,578 million gallons per year (MGY).
Olathe and Water District No.1 of Johnson County later applied for additional water rights that eliminated the 2040 deficit for Water District No. 1 and greatly reduced the 2040 deficit for Olathe. The net result of these applications for additional water rights was to reduce the total projected 2040 deficit of the remaining 57 public water suppliers in the corridor region with such deficits to 4,385 MGY.
Late 21st Century municipal water demand may be estimated using population projections and an assumed per capita water use rate. Using the 2075 and 2100 population projections in Table 1 and assuming a municipal water use rate of 135 gallons per capita per day (GPCD) results in a projected 2075 municipal water demand of 95,000 million gallons for the 10-county corridor region. The projected 2100 municipal water demand for the region is 108,000 million gallons. Table 1 summarizes these population projections and the additional municipal water demand resulting from them.
TABLE 1 KANSAS RIVER CORRIDOR POPULATION AND MUNICIPAL WATER DEMAND PROJECTIONS1 |
|||
Year |
Projected Total Population |
Additional Water Demend4 (MGY) |
|
KWO2 |
Linear Projection3 |
||
2040 |
1,604,538 |
|
4,385 |
|
|
|
10,113 |
2075 |
|
1,916,499 |
|
|
|
|
13,000 |
2100 |
|
2,194,060 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
|
27,498 |
1. Includes Douglas, Geary, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth, Pottawatomie, Riley, Shawnee, Wabaunsee and Wyandotte counties. 2. Projection from Kansas Water Office population and water demand projections 3. Based upon linear projection of 1950-2000 population (U.S. Census Bureau). 4. Additional water needed (million gallons per year) to meet demand. 2040 value is water needed in addition to present supplies. 2075 and 2100 values based on 135 gallons per capita per day use rate. |
As indicated in Table 1, municipal water demand is projected to be 27,498 million gallons per year greater by the year 2100. The projected 2040 water supply yield from the storage available for acquisition in Milford and Perry lakes is 49,000 MGY which is 21,502 MGY more than this projected increase in municipal water demand.
It must be noted that demand could reach these values much sooner if higher growth rates such as discussed for Johnson and Douglas counties occur. Using these rates the Kansas River Corridor total projected population in 2040 would be 2,031,738 and nearly as high as the 2100 population projection of 2,194,060 obtained using linear regression of 1950-2000 population data.
Also, it is important to note that:
·
These
long-range projections represent a rough estimate of conditions 40 to 100 years
into the future.
·
It is likely
that public water suppliers outside of the Kansas River Corridor region may
look upon Milford or Perry lakes as a water supply
source.
·
Suppliers
within the region may have other options for additional water supply such as
the Missouri River, Clinton Lake or Hillsdale Lake.
·
Municipal
water demand rates may change dramatically in the next century in response to
the price of water, implementation of recycling or other factors.
Of concern is the impact of reservoir siltation upon future water supply yield from Milford and Perry lakes and the influence of such siltation on water quality. The U. S Geological Survey has estimated that 23 percent of the original conservation pool water storage capacity in Perry Lake was lost due to sediment deposition from 1969 through 2001. Kansas Water Office studies show an estimated current capacity loss of 1,558 acre-feet per year from the conservation pool in Milford Lake and 1,485 acre-feet per year from the conservation pool in Perry Lake.
Additional Storage Available in Milford and Perry Lakes
The State of Kansas has contracted with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers for the purchase of 500,000 acre-feet of water supply storage in Milford, Perry and Tuttle Creek lakes as indicated in Table 2. Of this total, only some 176,650 acre-feet has actually been called into service to support the state’s Water Assurance and Water Marketing programs. Available for acquisition is 323,350 acre-feet of storage in Milford and Perry lakes for which payment has been deferred.
Contracts between the United States and the State of Kansas for the purchase of water supply storage space in Milford and Perry lakes for municipal and industrial water supply purposes were signed in 1974 and 1976, respectively. These contracts provide that the State’s share for all costs shall be payable in equal annual installments within a period not to exceed 50 years or the remaining life of the Project, whichever is less, commencing from the date the State first uses or exercises control of the storage space. Both contracts also provide that the regulation of the water stored in the water supply storage space, or any increments thereof, following commencement of use shall be the responsibility of the State. The annual interest rates are 2.632 % for the Milford Lake contract and 3.046% for the Perry Lake contract.
The in-service date for the storage under contract in Milford Lake is 1984, while this date for storage under contract in Perry Lake is 1991. Thus, any further acquisition of storage in Milford Lake must be completed by 2034, while the State has until 2041 to complete acquisition of storage in Perry Lake.
TABLE 2 STORAGE AVAILABLE FOR ACQUISITION MILFORD, PERRY AND TUTTLE CREEK LAKES, KANSAS |
|||||
|
Storage Volume (Acre – Feet) |
||||
Lake |
Available |
Under Contract |
In Service |
Payment Deferred |
Not State Controlled |
Milford |
300,000 |
300,000 |
101,650 |
198,350 |
198,350 |
Perry |
150,000 |
150,000 |
25,000 |
125,000 |
125,000 |
Tuttle Creek |
122,000 |
50,000 |
50,000 |
0 |
72,000 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
572,000 |
500,000 |
176,650 |
323,350 |
395,350 |
1. Water quality pool held by the Corps of Engineers Source: Kansas Water Office |
POLICY OPTIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Water supply storage space acquisition needed to control pool levels at a given elevation in Milford and Perry lakes is summarized in Tables 3 and 4. These pool elevations go from the top of the multipurpose pool to as low as the lakes are drawn down under current water level management plans. The area-capacity tables used in these calculations are based upon the most recent sediment surveys conducted at Perry Lake (1993) and Milford Lake (1994). Costs associated with acquiring this storage are also presented.
Tables 3 and 4 show values for Principal and Interest costs over the remaining life of the contracts for Milford and Perry lakes plus Operation and Maintenance costs in 2005 and for the last year of the contract. The values for the last year were made by projection of 1985-2004 Operation and Maintenance costs for Milford Lake and 1991-2004 Operation and Maintenance costs for Perry Lake.
TABLE 3 ADDITIONAL STORAGE ACQUISITION NEEDED TO CONTROL POOL BELOW A GIVEN ELEVATION – MILFORD LAKE |
||||||
|
Storage Volume (Acre-Feet) |
Annual Cost of Additional Storage ($) |
||||
Elevation |
Current |
Design |
Additional Design Needed |
Principal and Interest |
2005 O & M |
2034 O & M |
1144.4* |
372,341 |
300,000 |
198,350 |
686,291 |
130,911 |
202,317 |
1143.4 |
357,386 |
287,951 |
186,301 |
644,601 |
122,959 |
190,027 |
1142.4 |
342,912 |
276,289 |
174,639 |
604,251 |
115,262 |
178,132 |
1141.4 |
328,847 |
264,956 |
163,306 |
565,039 |
107,782 |
166,572 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* – Top of multipurpose pool Current – Amount of storage capacity currently available at given elevation Design – Amount of storage capacity remaining when design sediment pool is filled O & M – Operation and Maintenace Source: Storage Volume - U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (unofficial) Costs - Kansas Water Office |
TABLE 4 ADDITIONAL STORAGE ACQUISITION NEEDED TO CONTROL POOL BELOW A GIVEN ELEVATION – PERRY LAKE |
||||||
|
Storage Volume (Acre-Feet) |
Annual Cost of Additional Storage ($) |
||||
Elevation |
Current |
Design |
Additional Design Needed |
Principal and Interest |
2005 O & M |
2041 O & M |
891.5* |
206,705 |
150,000 |
125,000 |
616,250 |
292,500 |
653,750 |
890.5 |
195,942 |
142,190 |
117,190 |
577,747 |
274,225 |
612,904 |
890.0 |
190,696 |
138,383 |
113,383 |
558,978 |
265,316 |
592,993 |
889.5 |
185,508 |
134,618 |
109,618 |
540,417 |
256,506 |
573,302 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* – Top of multipurpose pool Current – Amount of storage capacity currently available at given elevation Design – Amount of storage capacity remaining when design sediment pool is filled O & M – Operation and Maintenace Source: Storage Volume - U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (unofficial) Costs - Kansas Water Office |
The State of Kansas has 30 years left to acquire the remaining water supply storage available under contract in Milford Lake and 37 years left to acquire such storage in Perry Lake. Tables 3 and 4 provide a comparison of the cost of acquiring all available water supply storage or increments thereof over the remaining life of the purchase contracts within the limits of current water level management plans.
The State would gain control of releases from all of the water supply storage space it has under contract by acquiring all storage at once. This would provide the State with an enhanced ability to meet its obligations to water assurance district members and holders of water marketing program contracts. The additional storage would also act as a buffer against potential drawdowns early in an extended drought period.
There would also be an added incentive to protect the reservoir storage space from siltation and from water quality contaminants.
Given the current deficit and continuing shortage of revenues to the State General Fund, it is not likely to be a feasible source of funding at this time. The State Water Plan Fund has annual revenues of approximately $16 million. Funds could be allocated from the State Water Plan Fund over a period of years to pay for acquisition of storage. A Development Fund is associated with the Kansas Water Marketing Program, but the current balance in this fund is insufficient to pay for acquisition of storage. Utilization of state bonding authority would incur interest charges not associated with other sources of funding.
Recommendations
1. The State of Kansas should immediately call into service all of the 198,350 acre-feet of storage under contract in Milford Lake for which payment has been deferred.
2. The State of Kansas should immediately call into service all of the 125,000 acre-feet of storage under contract in Perry Lake for which payment has been deferred.
3. The principal, interest and operations and maintenance costs associated with calling into service that storage under contract in Milford and Perry lakes for which payment has been deferred should be paid from the State Water Plan Fund over the remaining life of the contracts with the United States.
Rationale for Recommendations
The 2040 water supply yield from the storage recommended to be called into service in Milford and Perry lakes is 49,000 million gallons per year (MGY). These lakes, via the Kansas River, are adjacent to Kansas City, the State’s largest and fastest growing metropolitan area.
Based upon Kansas Water Office projections of 2040 municipal water demand and rough estimates of such demand in the year 2100, it is estimated that an additional 27,498 MGY will be needed to satisfy the municipal water demand within the 10-county Kansas River Corridor in 2100. While this estimated demand growth is 21,502 MGY less than the yield from the storage to be purchased, the 2040 population projections may be very conservative. As well, self-supplied industrial water supply is not included and there are likely to be demands for water from outside the corridor region including the Wichita metropolitan area.
Calling all available additional storage in Milford and Perry lakes into service would provide an additional buffer against long-term drought conditions for water assurance district members and those with Water Marketing Program contracts. In the event of a serious multi-year drought, prevention of a six-foot drawdown for navigation support in the Missouri River from storage under contract to the State would prolong the State’s ability to fully meet its contractual obligations to these entities.
Water-based recreation at Milford and Perry lakes would also benefit from prevention of such drawdowns, as would fisheries management. Access to the water from boat ramps and marinas would be prolonged with associated economic benefits. Boaters and water skiers would also face fewer hazards from stumps, rocks and other obstacles.
Consistency with Statutory and Kansas Water Plan Objectives
These recommendations are consistent with the goals and objectives contained in the State Water Resources Planning Act and with achieving the 2010 Objectives of the Kansas Water Plan.
The State Water Resources Planning Act (K.S.A. 82a-901 et seq.) states that among the considerations to be taken into account in formulating the state water plan are: 1) the maintenance, preservation and protection of the sovereignty of the state over all waters within the state; and 2) the need of the state to control storage in federal reservoirs by purchase or agreement.
This Act also contains long-range goals for the management, conservation and development of the water of the state and policies for achieving them. A long-range goal pertinent to acquisition of reservoir storage is to “meet the anticipated future needs of the people of the state, of sufficient supplies of water for beneficial purposes.”
In October 1998, the Kansas Water Authority approved objectives for the year 2010, including the following objectives related to the further acquisition of reservoir storage:
1) by 2010, ensure that sufficient surface water storage is available to meet projected year 2040 public water supply needs for areas of Kansas with current or potential access to surface water storage;
2.) by 2010, increase public recreational opportunities at lakes and streams.
PLAN IMPLEMENTATION
Legislative Action
The Kansas Legislature must approve use of funds from the State Water Plan Fund for payment of principal, interest and operations and maintenance costs associated with calling into service the remaining storage under contract in Milford and Perry lakes.
Administrative Action
The Kansas Water Office has previously filed for and been granted reservation water rights in Milford and Perry lakes by the Kansas Department of Agriculture, Division of Water Resources. These reservation rights are sufficient to cover the additional storage that would be called into service as recommended in this Kansas Water Plan subsection.
No administrative action is necessary to implement these recommendations.
Financial Requirements
As indicated by Table 5 below, the total annual cost of calling into service the recommended additional storage is $ 1,725,952.
TABLE 5 2005 COST OF CALLING STORAGE INTO SERVICE |
||||
|
|
Cost ($) |
||
Lake |
Interest Rate |
Principal and Interest |
Operation and Maintenance |
Total |
Milford |
2.632% |
686,291 |
130,911 |
817,202 |
Perry |
3.046% |
616,250 |
292,500 |
908,750 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
1,725,952 |
Source: Kansas Water Office |
Implementation Schedule
A recommendation to call into service the remaining storage under contract in Milford and Perry lakes and to pay for this storage from the State Water Plan Fund will be included in the Kansas Water Authority’s Report to the Governor and 2004 Kansas Legislature. Assuming legislative approval, payment for the storage would begin during State Fiscal Year 2005 which begins July 1, 2004.